Nigeria’s $50 billion space revenue ambition sparks industry debate

Date: 2025-01-31
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The Federal Government of Nigeria has unveiled an ambitious initiative aimed at generating $50 billion annually through space technology. The initiative, known as the Presidential Initiative on Revenue Optimization and Digitalization via Space Technology, brings together the Revenue Mobilization Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC) and the National Space Research and Development Agency (NASRDA) in a bid to enhance revenue generation using satellite and space-based solutions. However, the announcement has sparked skepticism among space industry experts, raising concerns about the feasibility of such projections.

Speaking at the launch in Abuja, RMAFC Chairman Dr. Mohammed Bello Shehu emphasized that Nigeria’s Renewed Hope Agenda requires innovative revenue strategies beyond traditional sources. He stressed the need for government agencies to adopt advanced technology to unlock new economic opportunities. “The traditional sources and methods of revenue generation are no longer in vogue and, more importantly, are not sufficient to meet the evolving needs of our great nation,” he said. “Key stakeholders must think innovatively and collaboratively to unlock new opportunities for economic growth, all in the interest of our beloved country.”

NASRDA’s Director General, Dr. Mathew Adepoju, reinforced the agency’s confidence in the initiative, asserting that other nations have successfully integrated space technology into economic planning. “Our initial analysis has shown that we can help the country generate up to $50 billion annually,” Adepoju stated. He pointed out that space technology could play a key role in monitoring and securing Nigeria’s natural resources, reducing revenue leakages, and strengthening national security.

The announcement, however, has been met with skepticism from industry experts, particularly regarding the financial projections. Temidayo Oniosun, Managing Director at Space in Africa, questioned the basis of the $50 billion estimate, pointing out that Nigeria’s entire national budget is barely $30 billion and that Africa’s entire space and satellite industry generates around $20 billion annually. “Who came up with this number, and how did they arrive at $50 billion? Where is this money going to come from? NASRDA selling products and services to government MDAs? Or NASRDA exporting space products and services it doesn't have?” Oniosun asked, casting doubt on the revenue forecast.

His concerns reflect a broader skepticism about Nigeria’s ability to generate significant revenue from space technology when its space program has yet to achieve major commercial success. Analysts argue that while satellites and space-based infrastructure can contribute to economic growth—through applications in agriculture, security, telecommunications, and resource management—projecting tens of billions of dollars in revenue may be overly optimistic.

Another space affairs analyst, Olayode Abdurasaq, highlighted the importance of the initiative in digitalizing Nigeria’s economy but noted that achieving such revenue targets would require extensive investments in infrastructure, skilled personnel, and regulatory frameworks.

The initiative also includes plans to integrate space science, innovation, and technology into Nigeria’s economic strategy to curb revenue leakages and improve surveillance. NASRDA has emphasized that space-based monitoring can help track the country’s solid minerals and other natural resources, curb illegal mining activities, and enhance security efforts, particularly in the Gulf of Guinea, where Nigeria has been described as a “blind spot” in maritime surveillance.

By:  Nana Appiah Acquaye

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